5. Mathematical equations

To use this model to investigate our questions about West Nile virus control, we converted the flow chart diagram in Figure_3_labelFIGURE 3 into a system of mathematical equations. We chose to use ordinary differential equations, which proves to be a natural way to write the instantaneous rate of change of the number of individuals in each group of birds and mosquitoes. There is one equation for each group, or variable.

The equation for the rate of change in the number of susceptible birds is:

            .        (Equation 1)

Equations Q1.

The equation for the rate of change in the number of infectious birds is:

            .    (Equation 2)

Equations Q2.

The equation for the rate of change in the number of susceptible mosquitoes is:

           .        (Equation 3)

Equations Q3.

The equation for the rate of change in the number of infectious mosquitoes is:

            .               (Equation 4)

Equations Q4.

To make it clear that this model considers only these four groups, we added two further equations that define the total bird population, for our purposes, as

           ,                                    (Equation 5)

and the total mosquito population as

           .                                  (Equation 6)

Equations Q5.